QE3 This Week?
8 August 2011
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33 Comments
Markets are getting pretty volatile and many are expecting the Fed to step in. Of course, quantitative easing will do nothing but spike inflation so it’s a lose / lose. I’d hate to be Bernanke right now. How out of control does the price of gold get if they announce QE3? We could get to $2,000 / oz rapidly if so. Uncharted territory indeed.
If we're in a solvency, rather than a liquidity, crisis then QE on Treasuries like they did with QE2 won't help at all. Solvency can only be addressed (apart from allowing the insolvent to default) by inflationary money printing, either just straight up inflating or by buying worthless assets (buying something worth $1 for $10 is obviously inflationary). There's some debate about wether QE actually created money, or whatever, but if they try and print their way out of it from here it will have to be the real deal, no ifs, ands or buts.
My bet is for tomorrow is another useless statement like "we're concerned and considering policy responses to allow additional easing if it might help" rather than outright announcing more asset purchases. If stocks tank further between now and Jackson Hole, they'll probably do something though.
Right now, QE3 would be a waste. Investors are not responding to positive market catalysts, so trying to put one in place at this time would basically be flushing money down the drain.
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During the housing bubble. I can can picture the young real estate agent’ the banker waiting for the buyer to sign on the doted line chuckling when someone suggested that real estate could maybe not be the greatest investment in the world. So over confident that you could smell it in the room. Non of these guys ever thought for a moment that their was anything out of the ordinary. Printing more money by the federal reserve will not solve the countries financial problems. I believe that in the end the united states will default on its debt unless it soon changes course.
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