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Articles in the Market Analysis Category

Market Analysis, Trading »

What do you think about Facebook stock?
Are you an optimist on FB telling your friends it’s a BUY, or are you netural?  Do you think it’s time for anyone who got in to sell now and take the loss?
The IPO Friday started with an opening of $38 and jumped to over $42 for the high.  The second day of trading the stock plummeted to a close of $34.03.  Currently at The Street.com there are two ‘Strong Buy’ recommendations. (Not sure who put those in there, because it doesn’t have a link …

Market Analysis, Politics, Real Estate »

Our forecast for 2012. Stocks End Up 10-15%. Housing Stays Crappy. Middle Class Struggles. Politics will continue to be politics. Don’t worry, there’s still good news in this article.

Investing, Market Analysis, Quick Hits, Trading »

This is pretty fascinating, but Apple (AAPL) is actually leading the market… lower. I wrote a post for Seeking Alpha at the end of last week how Apple had closed below its 200 day moving average for the first time since early 2009. Since the stock stopped making new highs a few months ago it has basically led the stock market lower. How significant is this? Well, it’s not 100%, but it’s definitely significant. Apple has been viewed as a major market mover and leader …

Economy, Gold, Headline, Inflation, Investing, Market Analysis »

The Stock Market Is Not Going Higher, It Is Going Lower

The problem is that it is too easy to manipulate stock prices simply by printing more of the currency of which it is priced in. We could print trillions every day from here on out and get the stock market to 1,000,000 on the Dow, but would that really be a good thing? Since the printing clouds our judgment of true valuation of the stock market, it is wise to “price” the market in something else. What else? Read on…

Investing, Market Analysis, Quick Hits »

We like to make big deals of these levels in the Dow.  We crossed 12,000.  Does it matter?  Well, first, I’d say that the Dow is sort of archaic and the S&P 500 is a better index.  Regardless, though, if you’re a bull, you’re cheering the new level.  The reality though is that 90% of these bulls only care about what the stock market does this year.  This is a terrible way to invest.  Ignore the short term cheering, and focus on the fundamentals, and the big trends that you …

Economy, Investing, Market Analysis, Politics »

Interesting Thoughts On The Local & State Gov’t Crisis

Local and state governments are in terrible terrible shape.  States like California, Illinois, New York and even Florida where I live face serious challenges ahead.
The explanation is easy and is actually very simple.  The states have spent way beyond their means for far too long.  A “growing” economy for decades was able to mask the troublesome behavior, but once the growth stopped a few years ago, the crisis bubbled to the surface.
States are doing their best to combat the situation by doing some cuts – Illinois raised the income tax …

Economy, Market Analysis, Quick Hits »

The US markets have enjoyed a nice run in the last month (nominally speaking of course – since they are in the red if you price them in gold).  The Dow closed above 11,000 last week for the first time since May.  It’s amazing how the market action determines how most people feel about the economy.  Back in August, thing “felt” much worse.  People were convinced we were heading for a double-dip because the market was acting like it.  Now, we get news of QE2, the market goes up, and …